Climate Code Red
David Spratt & Philip Sutton
‘The book draws on a vast array of information to build a cogent and compelling case that we do have a genuine emergency on our hands if we are to limit the rise of greenhouse gas emissions to a level at which we can limit the degradation of our planet to manageable levels … There is no doubt in my mind that this is the greatest problem confronting mankind at this time and that it has reached the level of a state of emergency.’
Professor David de Kretser, A.C., Governor of Victoria‘The stark fact is that we face a global sustainability emergency. But it is impossible to design realistic solutions unless we first understand and accept the size of the problem. Climate Code Red is a sober, balanced analysis of this challenge, unadorned by political spin, proposing a realistic framework to tackle the emergency.'
Ian Dunlop, former international oil, gas, and coal industry executive‘Having been involved with global warming climate change as a researcher in environmental health for 25 years, I can say that this is without question by far the best book to date on this issue — the first book to have the integrity to say how the situation really is.’
Dr Peter Carter, CanadaIn this meticulously documented call-to-action, David Spratt and Philip Sutton reveal extensive scientific evidence showing the global warming crisis is far worse than official reports and national governments have indicated — and that we’re almost at the point of no return.
Serious climate change impacts are already happening, more rapidly and at lower global temperature increases than projected. As the USA’s most eminent climate scientist, James Hansen, told 15,000 of his colleagues at a conference in December 2007, significant climate ‘tipping points’ have already been passed. These include large ice-sheet disintegration, significant sea level rises of up to five metres this century, and devastating species loss. The Arctic will soon be free of summer sea-ice — a century ahead of projections by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change — and the Greenland ice sheet is in imminent danger.
The tipping point for the loss of the Arctic sea-ice was around two decades ago, when temperatures were about 0.3°C lower than at present. Climate Code Red shows that further temperature increases of 2 degrees are effectively already in the system. Even a temperature increase cap of 2–2.4°C, which is proposed within the United Nations framework (and is far below what most governments are prepared to aim for), would take the planet’s climate beyond the temperature range of the last million years.
David Spratt and Philip Sutton show that the unofficial projected speed of climate change — with temperature increases greater than 0.3°C per decade, and a consequent rapid shifting of climatic zones — will result in most ecosystems failing to adapt, causing the extinction of many species. The oceans will become more acidic, endangering much marine life.
The dangers we all face are already much greater than the headlines indicate. According to climate scientists such as James Hansen, it is no longer a case of how much more we can ‘safely’ emit, but whether we can stop emissions and produce a deliberate cooling before the earth’s climate system reaches a runaway trajectory that is beyond any hope of human restoration.
These imperatives are incompatible with ‘politics as usual’ and ‘business as usual’. Climate Code Red argues there is an urgent need for all of us to recognise that we face a sustainability emergency requiring a clear break from the politics of failure-inducing compromise. Even scientifically moderate goals (such as reducing emissions by 25–40 per cent below 1990 levels by 2020) now require immoderate rates of technical and social change that are only achievable by shifting formally to an emergency footing.
Spratt and Sutton believe we now need to think the unthinkable, because the case for emergency action is not so much a radical idea as an indispensable course we must embark upon if we are to return to a safe-climate planet.
‘This is a frightening but clear-eyed, well-informed, and sober consideration of the weight of evidence and argument on the imminent and quite possibly cataclysmic impacts of climate change. It is a wake-up call and antidote to the sanitised reporting on the state of the planet and global warming. As a social and environmental psychologist reader, this critical overview is impressive, comprehensive, and convincing.’
Dr Joseph Retter‘Climate Code Red applies an uncommon degree of common-sense to the latest climate science, and is a well-researched basis for building a truly meaningful response. It makes it abundantly clear that greenhouse-gas emissions have to stop entirely, and that even this must sit in a larger plan to manage our destabilised earth-atmosphere system.’
Tim Helweg-Larsen, Director, Public Interest Research Centre, UK‘Recent greenhouse gas emissions place the Earth perilously close to dramatic climate change that could run out of our control, with great dangers for humans and other creatures. There is already enough carbon in the Earth’s atmosphere for massive ice sheets such as West Antarctica to eventually melt away, and ensure that sea levels will rise metres in coming decades. Climate zones such as the tropics and temperate regions will continue to shift, and the oceans will become more acidic, endangering much marine life. We must begin to move rapidly to the post-fossil fuel clean energy system. Moreover, we must remove some carbon that has collected in the atmosphere since the Industrial Revolution. This is the story that Climate Code Red tells with conviction. It is a compelling case for recognising, as the UN secretary-general has said, that we face a climate emergency.’
Dr James Hansen, director of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration Goddard Institute for Space Studies‘David Spratt and Philip Sutton have provided a valuable and sobering contribution to the policy challenge of climate change at a pivotal moment, with their key insight that the expectation of failure has become the norm in climate policy. Climate Code Red is a significant contribution which should be read by anyone seriously contemplating how to set greenhouse emission-reduction targets.’
Senator Christine Milne, Australian Greens Party'It is wrong-headed for society to mundanely think about addressing "climate change", because this term, and its sister phrase "global warming", both imply a sedate and gradual transition. Yet recent science, and the history of past climates, tell us that this is an absurdly optimistic expectation. The Earth's climate is a complex and interconnected system, dominated by amplifying feedbacks, thresholds, delays and non-linearities. We have already witnessed surprises -- the recent dramatic loss of Arctic summer sea ice and the rapid polewards expansion of tropical weather systems causing drying of the mid-latitudes are just two of many examples -- and we should expect more: large and abrupt climatic lurches are likely this century and perhaps within years. That is why Spratt and Sutton speak of the "climate emergency" and argue that there is a supremely urgent need for society to take immediate, transformational action to restore a safe climate. Climate Code Red is a superb, visionary blueprint for development in a new century which tackles the tough questions of how humanity can, in practice, rapidly secure a sustainable future. But it is also a work in progress, a draft strategy, which is primed to be shaped and developed by those who step up to meet the challenge we all now face.'
Professor Barry W. Brook, Sir Hubert Wilkins Chair of Climate Change, Director of Research Institute for Climate Change and Sustainability, The University of AdelaideDavid Spratt
David Spratt is a Melbourne businessman, climate-policy analyst, and co-founder of Carbon Equity, which advocates personal carbon allowances as the most fair and equitable means of rapidly reducing carbon emissions. He has extensive advocacy experience in the peace movement, and in developing community-campaign communication and marketing strategies.
Website: http://www.climatecodered.net
Philip Sutton
Philip Sutton is the convener of the Greenleap Strategic
Institute, a non-profit environmental-strategy think tank
and advisory organisation promoting the very rapid
achievement of global and local ecological sustainability.
He is also the founder and director of strategy for Green
Innovations, and an occasional university lecturer on global
warming science and strategies for sustainability.
Philip has worked on a number of advisory and policy committees for Australian state and federal governments, was the architect of the Victorian Flora and Fauna Guarantee Act, and is a former president of the Australian and New Zealand Society for Ecological Economics (2001–2003).
Website: http://www.green-innovations.asn.au